Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 107.518879 123.865965 143.185639 168.074913 199.856554 239.908119 295.618263
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 83.744711 102.902775 127.944950 164.303688 218.071773 299.088479 440.983614
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 71.527392 91.547774 119.492000 163.565401 236.281330 363.122929 638.635506
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 63.741438 84.123295 114.043307 164.477287 255.813033 438.166678 934.456357
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 56.517840 76.148920 105.979988 158.690210 260.982303 488.347212 1246.184845
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 53.408815 73.719327 105.872283 166.051024 293.617397 622.120816 2134.185203
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 48.690378 68.154981 99.718662 160.882613 297.935853 687.653873 3006.228393
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 45.756227 65.055071 97.207660 162.050349 317.258434 817.641223 5214.760133
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 42.717847 61.448218 93.297283 159.534652 326.640592 926.089466 8914.564831
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 42.042172 61.663643 96.194810 171.925207 381.922945 1310.986007 46039.323887
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 42.230245 63.340822 102.014510 192.446939 475.559296 2185.471255 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 40.101853 60.724366 99.163213 191.634002 497.939227 2681.379572 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 37.726965 57.705797 95.636290 189.728701 521.718946 3428.603256 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 35.317946 54.459565 91.345583 185.186053 534.534933 4253.824627 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 33.490139 52.118850 88.634378 184.303750 564.222677 5850.018835 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 32.011898 50.295556 86.778236 185.390021 605.888992 8904.731548 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 30.103781 47.503747 82.507666 178.503769 602.037906 10754.752370 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 29.453834 47.068586 83.359956 187.266188 696.585971 27186.403114 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 27.895197 44.744201 79.704725 181.110168 694.867322 37765.931972 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 26.933429 43.527120 78.455305 182.499616 747.634064 106318.293667 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 25.794267 41.879448 76.039337 179.507318 767.428127 301476.481528 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 25.700955 42.318150 78.579772 194.282475 956.936564 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 25.991870 43.562227 83.258814 218.953995 1330.848202 NaN NaN